Portfolio volatility
Static models can't track a shifting product mix
Your product mix changes every season. A model built around last year's data can't keep pace. By the time you've updated the baseline, the decision has already been made.
New: Scenario Module
Model change before you commit to it
A supplier swap, a material change, a new production run: each decision shifts your footprint in ways that compound for years. Run the analysis first, on the same verified data your compliance reports use.
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The problem
Spreadsheets fail the moment supply chains get real
Burden shifting
Fixing carbon can quietly break water
A sourcing change that cuts carbon by 30% can triple your water footprint. Single-metric analysis means you find out about the trade-off after the contract is signed.
How it works
Describe a change, see what it costs
01Describe your change
Type the scenario in plain language: swap a supplier, change a material, model a different shipping route. You don't build a formula or pick a template.
02Spirefly calculates the impact
The analysis runs against your verified footprint data, the same figures behind your compliance reports. Carbon, water, pollution, land, biodiversity, and materials in one pass.
03Pick the best option
Results come back ranked. Pick the option with the lowest overall footprint, or dig into why one metric tells a different story.
Transition roadmaps
From baseline to target, one initiative at a time
Line up your initiatives (material changes, energy procurement, supplier switches) and see how far each one takes you. The model stacks them in sequence against your current baseline.
You can see exactly how many initiatives you need, and in what order, to reach your science-based target. Then you walk into the board meeting with a number.
−200 kg CO₂e
saved across 3 initiatives
33%
total footprint reduction
What makes it different
Model change on your real footprint
Same data, forward and back
Scenario projections run against the same verified data as your annual report. What you model is what you report. No separate spreadsheet to keep in sync.
Fast enough to be useful
Supplier reviews and product decisions don't wait. A scenario runs in minutes, so you can move at the pace of your business without cutting corners on the methodology.
All metrics, every time
Carbon, water, pollution, land, biodiversity, and materials calculated in one pass. Fix carbon: find out immediately what happens to water. No blind spots.
When to run a scenario
Built for operational inflection points
Supplier reviews
Pick the right vendor before the contract
Map environmental trade-offs across multiple options before signing. Walk into negotiations with the numbers in hand.
Materials strategy
Shape a long-term materials strategy
Compare how material choices affect footprint and cost over the long term, so you commit to a direction that genuinely moves the needle.
Transition roadmaps
Build your SBT reduction pathway
Stack initiatives to model the exact path to your science-based target, and see where you fall short.
Supplier engagement
See what targeted supplier engagement can do
Model how focused engagement with individual suppliers moves your footprint, then bring those numbers into the conversation.
CSRD reporting
Know your numbers before the auditor does
Pre-calculate how planned interventions will affect your ESRS disclosures before the reporting deadline lands.
Packaging redesign
Model every material option in minutes
Glass, rPET, bioplastic, corrugated paper: compare the multi-metric footprint before committing to tooling.
New product launches
Calculate the footprint before the first run
Know your new product's environmental impact before it's manufactured. Catch design-stage issues when changes are cheap.
Scope 3 procurement
Steer buyers toward lower-footprint inputs
Give procurement teams a live view of how sourcing decisions affect scope 3 emissions.
Customer proof
What clients say
“We absolutely need to have a view on impacts in our supply chain, and Spirefly offers those insights at scale.”
Anna Krotova
Picnic
“Finally, I have the ammunition to make people realise the scale of our impact. It's no longer just an opinion — I can say with confidence: this is our footprint, and this is where we need to act.”
Daan Reith
Heijmans
Frequently asked questions
What is the Spirefly Scenario Module?
The Scenario Module lets you model the footprint impact of a decision, such as a supplier swap, a material change, or a new production run, before you commit. It runs instant, multi-metric analyses on the same verified data that powers your compliance reports.
What does the Scenario Module do that a spreadsheet can't?
Your full baseline already lives in Spirefly, so the Scenario Module builds directly on it and runs LCAs in real time, drawing on impact databases like ecoinvent to model what your footprint would be if you redid the assessment under a new scenario. It runs on your live, verified data, so the analysis stays current as your product mix and supply chain shift.
Can the Scenario Module catch trade-offs between carbon and other impacts?
Yes. The Scenario Module scores carbon, water, pollution, land, biodiversity, and materials together in a single pass, so every scenario shows the complete picture. When a sourcing change cuts carbon but raises your water footprint, you see that trade-off up front, before you commit.
Does scenario analysis use the same data as my compliance reports?
Yes. The Scenario Module runs on the same verified dataset behind your compliance disclosures. That means a scenario's numbers stay consistent with what you report, so you can move from "what if" to a signed decision on one system.
Still have a question?
Send it to our team and we'll reply by email.
Ready to make decisions that matter?
Start modelling changes before you decide.